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Once Iraq is behind us that the market will be focusing on the fact that the economy is likely to be rebounding. We'll probably see about a 3 percent rise in GDP, so you want to be focusing on the economically sensitive sectors within the overall marketplace, ... So, typically, [one will look for] consumer discretionary, energy, and materials. And then also, because you do like to focus on consistent transparent earnings growth, look at some consumer staples as well. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Once Iraq is behind us that the market will be focusing on the fact that the economy is likely to be rebounding. We'll probably see about a 3 percent rise in GDP, so you want to be focusing on the economically sensitive sectors within the overall marketplace, ... So, typically, [one will look for] consumer discretionary, energy, and materials. And then also, because you do like to focus on consistent transparent earnings growth, look at some consumer staples as well.

If the Fed lowers rates next week, the questions become 'How much further can they go?,' 'Is it effective?,' and 'Can the Fed really turn things around?,' - Sam Stovall Quotes

If the Fed lowers rates next week, the questions become 'How much further can they go?,' 'Is it effective?,' and 'Can the Fed really turn things around?,'

We would not be surprised to see investors take a more cautious approach by gravitating toward larger companies with high S&P earnings and dividend quality ranks. - Sam Stovall Quotes

We would not be surprised to see investors take a more cautious approach by gravitating toward larger companies with high S&P earnings and dividend quality ranks.

We would not be surprised to see investors take a more cautious approach by gravitating toward larger companies with high S&P earnings- and dividend-quality ranks. - Sam Stovall Quotes

We would not be surprised to see investors take a more cautious approach by gravitating toward larger companies with high S&P earnings- and dividend-quality ranks.

It's an industry that does not experience a change in demand whether the economy is expanding or contracting, or whether the market is rising or falling. When you die, you die. The only difference could be the families of the one who passed away, if times are tough, could opt for a less expensive funeral. - Sam Stovall Quotes

It's an industry that does not experience a change in demand whether the economy is expanding or contracting, or whether the market is rising or falling. When you die, you die. The only difference could be the families of the one who passed away, if times are tough, could opt for a less expensive funeral.

Both are involved in a sort of a turnaround situation with the economically sensitive group and I think at least, over the next couple of months, they'll do well, - Sam Stovall Quotes

Both are involved in a sort of a turnaround situation with the economically sensitive group and I think at least, over the next couple of months, they'll do well,

Everyone is looking to dish the technology stocks on higher interest rates, but they continue to show they are not interest-rate sensitive, or at least as much as people would like. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Everyone is looking to dish the technology stocks on higher interest rates, but they continue to show they are not interest-rate sensitive, or at least as much as people would like.

The market does not seem to be worried about the long-term effects of the hurricane. It seems that we're seeing again today that the market really wants to move higher. - Sam Stovall Quotes

The market does not seem to be worried about the long-term effects of the hurricane. It seems that we're seeing again today that the market really wants to move higher.

Some of the restaurant companies are doing exceptionally well and I think demographics, longer term, are going to indicate that more people are going to be buying their food outside the home, rather than preparing it inside the home, - Sam Stovall Quotes

Some of the restaurant companies are doing exceptionally well and I think demographics, longer term, are going to indicate that more people are going to be buying their food outside the home, rather than preparing it inside the home,

That really spooked investors last month and this week they'll be looking for earlier numbers, like the PPI, to see if there isn't anything they can glean on what to expect from the next CPI report. - Sam Stovall Quotes

That really spooked investors last month and this week they'll be looking for earlier numbers, like the PPI, to see if there isn't anything they can glean on what to expect from the next CPI report.

An investor who was long the market from November to April, but then adopted a defensive approach by rotating into either the S&P Consumer Staples or Health Care sectors during May through October, would have found ... that the returns were well worth the effort. - Sam Stovall Quotes

An investor who was long the market from November to April, but then adopted a defensive approach by rotating into either the S&P Consumer Staples or Health Care sectors during May through October, would have found ... that the returns were well worth the effort.

While it is difficult to anticipate unanticipated events, investors could become increasingly concerned about oil, earnings and interest rates -- the trio of trepidation -- in the traditionally weak third quarter. - Sam Stovall Quotes

While it is difficult to anticipate unanticipated events, investors could become increasingly concerned about oil, earnings and interest rates -- the trio of trepidation -- in the traditionally weak third quarter.

Usually if you wait for fundamentals to be confirmed, you've waited too long, ... What Enron has done is given people who've dillydallied a chance to get in not too far from where they could have last fall. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Usually if you wait for fundamentals to be confirmed, you've waited too long, ... What Enron has done is given people who've dillydallied a chance to get in not too far from where they could have last fall.

Enron

Not all tech stocks are cheap, ... The question is how far down can the Nasdaq go. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Not all tech stocks are cheap, ... The question is how far down can the Nasdaq go.

Investors are going to look at whatever economic numbers come out and say is this additional fuel for the Fed to lower rates in March. Earnings are going to continue to come out and they're likely to be negative so you're going to have earnings weighing on the market. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Investors are going to look at whatever economic numbers come out and say is this additional fuel for the Fed to lower rates in March. Earnings are going to continue to come out and they're likely to be negative so you're going to have earnings weighing on the market.

I think investors are a lot like dieters. They look at January as a good month to start anew. - Sam Stovall Quotes

I think investors are a lot like dieters. They look at January as a good month to start anew.

In this cyclical bull market that's been in place since October 2002, we haven't had a big pullback. - Sam Stovall Quotes

In this cyclical bull market that's been in place since October 2002, we haven't had a big pullback.

Basically the top ten industries were those that are economically sensitive and are bouncing back from their deeply oversold condition last year as a result of lower interest rates. We do believe the Fed will remain aggressive with its easing interest rate policy but we feel the earnings are going to be pretty bad for the first quarter, so the market is likely to tread water for awhile. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Basically the top ten industries were those that are economically sensitive and are bouncing back from their deeply oversold condition last year as a result of lower interest rates. We do believe the Fed will remain aggressive with its easing interest rate policy but we feel the earnings are going to be pretty bad for the first quarter, so the market is likely to tread water for awhile.

On average, coming out of a bad September, October rises 5 percent and the fourth quarter rises 4 percent overall. So if you use history as a guide, we're looking for a bounce. - Sam Stovall Quotes

On average, coming out of a bad September, October rises 5 percent and the fourth quarter rises 4 percent overall. So if you use history as a guide, we're looking for a bounce.

They recently reported earning where they'd shown that revenues were not as strong as had been anticipated; a lot of that money still comes from your traditional long-distance carrying revenues. However, we like the group longer-term because we believe that, particularly for MCI, they're gravitating more towards the cellular and wireless category, which is the third group in telecom, and that one actually is in a positive camp. - Sam Stovall Quotes

They recently reported earning where they'd shown that revenues were not as strong as had been anticipated; a lot of that money still comes from your traditional long-distance carrying revenues. However, we like the group longer-term because we believe that, particularly for MCI, they're gravitating more towards the cellular and wireless category, which is the third group in telecom, and that one actually is in a positive camp.

I think the election added to the downward movement but it really was Dell that started it off. - Sam Stovall Quotes

I think the election added to the downward movement but it really was Dell that started it off.

Wall Street won't really respond to it. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Wall Street won't really respond to it.

That really spooked investors last month and this week they'll be looking for earlier numbers, like the PPI, to see if there isn't anything they can glean on what to expect from the next CPI report, - Sam Stovall Quotes

That really spooked investors last month and this week they'll be looking for earlier numbers, like the PPI, to see if there isn't anything they can glean on what to expect from the next CPI report,

Increased volatility can certainly cause increase tension, but that's not a reason to step out. It is certainly white-knuckle time, but that does not necessarily mean the good run has ended. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Increased volatility can certainly cause increase tension, but that's not a reason to step out. It is certainly white-knuckle time, but that does not necessarily mean the good run has ended.

Usually if you wait for fundamentals to be confirmed, you've waited too long. What Enron has done is given people who've dillydallied a chance to get in not too far from where they could have last fall. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Usually if you wait for fundamentals to be confirmed, you've waited too long. What Enron has done is given people who've dillydallied a chance to get in not too far from where they could have last fall.

Enron

There's a lot more uncertainty now. And we've had 18 months of price advances -- that could just be setting us up for a renewal of the defensiveness the market goes through during the May-Oct. period. - Sam Stovall Quotes

There's a lot more uncertainty now. And we've had 18 months of price advances -- that could just be setting us up for a renewal of the defensiveness the market goes through during the May-Oct. period.

There's a lot more uncertainty now, ... And we've had 18 months of price advances -- that could just be setting us up for a renewal of the defensiveness the market goes through during the May-Oct. period. - Sam Stovall Quotes

There's a lot more uncertainty now, ... And we've had 18 months of price advances -- that could just be setting us up for a renewal of the defensiveness the market goes through during the May-Oct. period.

The month of May was a counter-trend rally where investors used good news as a reason to temper their bearishness and cancel out short-selling contracts. - Sam Stovall Quotes

The month of May was a counter-trend rally where investors used good news as a reason to temper their bearishness and cancel out short-selling contracts.

We are really not sure if the economy is continuing to expand or continuing to contract, - Sam Stovall Quotes

We are really not sure if the economy is continuing to expand or continuing to contract,

Possibly we could see a little bit of profit taking because investors had been anticipating that when the Fed does meet next week that they won't raise interest rates, - Sam Stovall Quotes

Possibly we could see a little bit of profit taking because investors had been anticipating that when the Fed does meet next week that they won't raise interest rates,

You need to digest some of those gains in order to move higher. - Sam Stovall Quotes

You need to digest some of those gains in order to move higher.

Many say this much-needed digestion of gains is long overdue, as bull markets typically require a correction of more than 10 percent in order to allow the bull to maintain its upward tendencies. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Many say this much-needed digestion of gains is long overdue, as bull markets typically require a correction of more than 10 percent in order to allow the bull to maintain its upward tendencies.

If they don't do it tomorrow, they will likely do it in January. - Sam Stovall Quotes

If they don't do it tomorrow, they will likely do it in January.

We might have a little further to go on the downside, - Sam Stovall Quotes

We might have a little further to go on the downside,

Our feeling is that energy stocks will be good performers, ... While inventories seem to be in balance with demand now, we see that as being temporary, that demand will soon start to outpace supply this summer. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Our feeling is that energy stocks will be good performers, ... While inventories seem to be in balance with demand now, we see that as being temporary, that demand will soon start to outpace supply this summer.

The hope is on the consumer to spend, to pull us out. If the consumer doesn't do that, then who? - Sam Stovall Quotes

The hope is on the consumer to spend, to pull us out. If the consumer doesn't do that, then who?

I would regard today as positive, although we're clearly not out of the woods yet. - Sam Stovall Quotes

I would regard today as positive, although we're clearly not out of the woods yet.

I think investors want to see improvement in the economic data so that the feeling is that the Fed doesn't need to lower interest rates. That in itself is a positive. - Sam Stovall Quotes

I think investors want to see improvement in the economic data so that the feeling is that the Fed doesn't need to lower interest rates. That in itself is a positive.

December is one of the best months of the year for retailers. Of the past four years, retailers have beaten the market. Typically, everyone says the Christmas season is going to be horrible and they don't want to be in retailers, only to see December do very well for the market and even better for retailers. - Sam Stovall Quotes

December is one of the best months of the year for retailers. Of the past four years, retailers have beaten the market. Typically, everyone says the Christmas season is going to be horrible and they don't want to be in retailers, only to see December do very well for the market and even better for retailers.

As far as the Merrill Lynch note is concerned, it's like reading an obituary that someone had died without knowing that they were still alive. Merrill cut its stock exposure to 45 percent, but why was it at 50 percent to begin with? That should raise some concerns. - Sam Stovall Quotes

As far as the Merrill Lynch note is concerned, it's like reading an obituary that someone had died without knowing that they were still alive. Merrill cut its stock exposure to 45 percent, but why was it at 50 percent to begin with? That should raise some concerns.

We think investors should own companies like Wal-Mart, like Alberto-Culver and Neighbors Industries because they have good fundamental prospects in a recovering economy, - Sam Stovall Quotes

We think investors should own companies like Wal-Mart, like Alberto-Culver and Neighbors Industries because they have good fundamental prospects in a recovering economy,

In general, we are seeing things that look a lot better. - Sam Stovall Quotes

In general, we are seeing things that look a lot better.

History would say that, whenever we have an extended up-move, chances are you need to catch your breath and go sideways for a while. Is it possible that will happen now? Yes. Is it necessary? No. - Sam Stovall Quotes

History would say that, whenever we have an extended up-move, chances are you need to catch your breath and go sideways for a while. Is it possible that will happen now? Yes. Is it necessary? No.

The rotation has more to do with defensiveness and dividend yield, than with the actual quality of the investments themselves. - Sam Stovall Quotes

The rotation has more to do with defensiveness and dividend yield, than with the actual quality of the investments themselves.

Yet the rebuilding of affected areas will likely raise production in the fourth and first quarters. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Yet the rebuilding of affected areas will likely raise production in the fourth and first quarters.

Looking back at other negative events such as Sept. 11 and Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, the markets reacted sharply to the downside. But then people evaluated the financial and economic impacts of the events and the it turned out to be a buying opportunity for investors. Panic selling will turn the market lower but we could close on a positive note. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Looking back at other negative events such as Sept. 11 and Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, the markets reacted sharply to the downside. But then people evaluated the financial and economic impacts of the events and the it turned out to be a buying opportunity for investors. Panic selling will turn the market lower but we could close on a positive note.

Iraq

The market has been in an irritable mood. If earnings and guidance are good, and there are no reasons to sell, then things should work out OK. - Sam Stovall Quotes

The market has been in an irritable mood. If earnings and guidance are good, and there are no reasons to sell, then things should work out OK.

The re-emergence of Kerry as a viable candidate has also put some pressure on health care stocks. - Sam Stovall Quotes

The re-emergence of Kerry as a viable candidate has also put some pressure on health care stocks.

Foremost on investors' minds is the elevated price of oil. It appears to us that the $40 per barrel level represents a 'line in the sand' above which the equity market retreats and below which the market breathes a sigh of relief. - Sam Stovall Quotes

Foremost on investors' minds is the elevated price of oil. It appears to us that the $40 per barrel level represents a 'line in the sand' above which the equity market retreats and below which the market breathes a sigh of relief.

It's possible it got to the point where valuations [of value stocks] were stretched, ... I think investors were just taking profits. - Sam Stovall Quotes

It's possible it got to the point where valuations [of value stocks] were stretched, ... I think investors were just taking profits.

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